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Perceived vs. Measured Inflation -- Why Everything Seems More Expensive

Editorial
7 min read
2026-02-24
Perceived vs. Measured Inflation -- Why Everything Seems More Expensive

<h2>Why Everything Seems More Expensive Than Statistics Say</h2>

<p>The official inflation rate in 2024 was 2.4%. But many Germans feel that prices have risen much more. This gap between perceived and measured inflation has concrete reasons.</p>

<h2>Reason 1: We Notice Frequent Purchases More</h2>

<p>Groceries, fuel, and electricity bills -- we buy these regularly, so every price increase is immediately noticeable. Electronics, clothing, and furniture are purchased less often, and their prices have often fallen or stayed stable. The CPI weights all categories by their share of total spending, but our perception weights by purchase frequency.</p>

<h2>Reason 2: Quality Improvements Are Factored Out</h2>

<p>A smartphone costs about the same as 5 years ago but is significantly more powerful. The Federal Statistical Office counts this quality improvement as a price decrease. For the consumer, it does not feel that way -- they still pay the same amount.</p>

<h2>Reason 3: Individual Baskets Differ</h2>

<p>The official CPI is based on an average household. If you spend above average on energy or food (e.g., as a family), you experience higher personal inflation. Our <a href="/en/inflation-calculator">Inflation Calculator</a> offers category multipliers to calculate inflation for different areas of life separately.</p>